Best Bet: Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-110)

Oh my god! Did you hear that Patrick Mahomes is an underdog at home!?! Did you know that?! Did you hear?! Yes, you heard that 1,000 times this week. Seems to be all anyone is talking about. Good, I’ll just go ahead and fade that. The Chiefs are a good team. They are one of the best teams in the NFL this year. The Bills are ranked my best team in the league. I do not think there is much dispute in that sentiment from anyone. This is THE revenge spot for the Bills. Remember them losing in the playoffs against the Chiefs in that fateful 13 seconds. Trust me, they remember. If Kansas City thinks they will win this game playing defense like how they played against the Raiders on Monday, they are sorely mistaken. In fact, if they play that way again, the Bills may put up a 50-burger on them. It was a short week for KC, as they played a tough game against a divisional opponent. The Bills played the Steelers and effectively won that game in the 1st quarter. There is EVERY reason for the Bills to be focused and motivated here. I’m happy to lay under a FG.