11/21/21 Best Bet: Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110)

This will be the squarest play you will see me do. However, the public does win sometimes. Listen, the Dolphins have burned me all year. For whatever reason they just haven’t gotten it together, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Their corners are still elite. But the offensive line has just been so bad and Tua / Brissett have been so inconsistent. Normally you shouldn’t lay over a FG on the road in a divisional game. But I just can’t back the Jets here. Trust me, I tried. Joe Flacco? What year is this? What the hell are the Jets doing here? Why wouldn’t they just start Mike White again? If Miami blitzes the way they did against the Ravens last week, how in the hell is Flacco going to compete? The Miami corners will just go one on one and win against Corey Davis and whoever the hell else. Tua is trending in the right direction and the Jets might just be laying down. Gimmie the Fins.