Cleveland Browns +3 (-110)

By now everyone knows how amazing Jayden Daniels has been playing. 80%+ completion percentage. Washington barley punts. 3-1 record, leading the NFC East. I totally get the love for Daniels. But here’s the thing, aside from Week 1 against the Buc’s (healthy) defense, the Commanders haven’t played a strong defense. The closest they came to a tough defense was the Giants defensive line (5th overall) and should have lost outright, had the Giants had a kicker that day. This Cleveland defense is by far the hardest Daniels has faced. The 2nd overall ranked defensive line and a great secondary. I call this a prove it game. Go ahead and dominate the Cleveland defense and I will be all in on Daniels. On the flipside, this is the easiest secondary Deshaun Watson has faced and he should be effective. The Browns are also getting two O-linemen back. I’ll happily take the 3 points in this matchup.