Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-110)

Coming into this year I was actively fading the Steelers. I bet their 8.5 win total under. I did not believe in the combo of Russell Wilson and Justin Fields. I really thought the Tomlin magic will end. Well, I still don’t believe in Wilson / Fields, even after the hot start. I still think this offense doesn’t have enough fire power and the offensive line is suspect. But here’s the thing, they are still one of the best defenses in the league (7th overall DVOA). The number 1 ranked D-line. In this game, the offensive line will not have to block Micah Parsons or Demarcus Lawrence. The Cowboys are effectively down to two offensive options - Lamb and Ferguson. I am confident that Tomlin will devise a gameplan to take them out of it. I just feel a whole bunch of running from Najee Harris and short passes from Fields is in our future. This is gonna be ugly but give me the uglier team, at home, with the fantastic kicker.