Denver Broncos +7.5 (-120)

Out of the really gross things I recommend on this site, this is up there with the grossest. I get it, Bills coming off a primetime loss against the Bengals, reeling, not looking like the “Bills” and needing a victory at home against the shitty Broncos - no problem right? When something looks too easy in the NFL, it rarely is. Look, Denver has played better over the past few weeks, especially on defense. They are coming off of a bye, rested and I’m sure coached up by Sean Payton. I think it’s fine if you just get the +7 flat but obviously, the hook is important here. The Broncos will play this one conservative and try to stay in the game. That’s all I’m asking here by taking the full touchdown.