Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-110)

Yes, I know, this isn’t “sharp”. I’m going against every possible maxim of betting I know of. I’m playing a road favorite, in prime time, in division. One that hasn’t won in Pittsburgh in almost 20 years. It’s gross. But the advantage here of the Browns defensive line against the Pitt offensive line is just too much to ignore. The Browns are good. The Jim Schwartz led defense is really good. I saw how Deshaun Watson looked last week and I wasn’t impressed. However, all I need is Nick Chubb, the best RB in the league to run the ball. Against a Cam Heyward-less Pitt defense. I’m doing the unthinkable and betting the Browns in the Steel City.