9/19/21 Best Bet: Miami Dolphins +3.5 (-110)

Everyone saw what happened to the Bills last week: they got steamrolled by the Steelers. They couldn’t run the ball, they couldn’t get the offense going and Josh Allen completed just 59% of his passes. As the Bills were one of the top favorites to take it all this year, the assumption is they are going to come into Miami and smash the Dolphins. Good, I want the public to think that. But in no world should the Bills be laying 3.5 points on the road in a divisional game. If you looked at this line and immediately jumped on the Bills, you should reevaluate how you bet on football. I am on the Dolphins this week and this handicap is as old as time. I’m getting the home team with over a field goal (key number) in a divisional game. Also, I’m getting a very good defense in the heat. It’s supposed to be 88 degrees at game time and humid (with potential thunderstorms). This is beneficial to the Dolphins that play and practice in the heat. The Bills play in upstate NY. Yea, I like the Fins. Gimmie the points.