12/3/21 Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons +11 (-115)

This is an ugly play. However, it’s one that I can only play Atlanta. If you look at the last game these teams played, it looked like a blowout. In fact, that game was competitive into the 4th quarter with the Falcons only down 3 points. Then, Matty Ice melted. Two picks, one of them taken to the house. That was all she wrote. And that game was in Tampa. Now, I’m getting Atlanta getting double digits at home in a divisional matchup. I’m getting a Tampa team that plays worse on the road. In fact, last week was their first road cover of the whole season. Add in everyone was so impressed by who resilient the Bucs looked against the Colts last week and you know the public is on Tampa. Anyways, the Falcons have Corderralle Paterson for this game. I expect this to be closer than most people think. I’ll be on the ATLiens this Sunday.