10/10/21 Best Bet: Miami Dolphins +10 (-110)

Tampa Bay fought hard and won in what was, for Tom Brady, the biggest game of the season. Unquestionably, the Bucs are the better team here. In fact, I have them ranked first in my power rankings. But here’s the thing, they are coming home and laying double digits to a team they are considerably better than. This is the ultimate “let down spot” for the Bucs. The Dolphins have looked miserable over the last 3 weeks. However, Jacoby Brissett will have open receivers against this banged up Tampa secondary. Not only is this a let down spot, it’s also a “look ahead spot”. Tampa plays on the road in Philly this Thursday. So it will be a short week and they are facing a mobile QB in Jalen Hurts. I can see some early preparation happening in the Tampa building. I’m not going to think too much about this. Give me the double digits here.