Las Vegas Raiders +7 (-120)

Pay up for the half point in this game. The Raiders are horrible. The Bucs need to win the game. All that is already in the line. Thing is, the Bucs are hurt in the middle / secondary for this game. After seeing Aidan O’Connell throw against the Chiefs last week, I know he can get Bowers the ball. That is all that matters and my handicap for this entire game. The Bucs will move the ball and Baker can put up pinball numbers against the Raiders defense. I just don’t believe the Bucs will be motivated for margin here. And quite frankly (surprisingly!), Antonio Pierce covers. Not sure how, but he does. I’ll take the points.