Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys -1.5 (-110)

Great win for the Vikings last week. It really was. However, it was lucky. I’m not saying they didn’t keep it close and were in the game. I’m just pointing out that without that fumble and the best catch I’ve ever seen in my life, they lose. Listen, this is strictly a situational play. I have these two teams about even. But the matchup that will decide this game is the Dallas defensive line (ranked #1) vs. the Minnesota offensive line (#16). Dallas will be storming Kirk Cousins and he will be under constant pressure. I expect at least one turnover from him, if not two. Dallas is also coming in hungry after giving up a two-touchdown lead to the Packers last weekend. I will readily admit that Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the league (3 points), but this game is at 4pm EST. That means non-1pm EST Kirk Cousins. He’s been historically bad outside of the 1pm window. I’m expecting the public to come in heavy on the Vikings after last week’s win. Cool, I’ll fade the public and be on the Cowboys.