11/11/21 Best Bet: Teaser – Ravens -2.5 / Browns +8 (-110)
Look, I don’t like betting road teams on Thursday night. Especially, those teams laying points. However, I’ll make an exception here as the Ravens are just flat out better than the Dolphins. I have the Ravens 10.5 points better than Miami. Even if give the Dolphins 2 for home field (I’m being generous here), you get to the current line of 8.5. Ok, I want the Ravens to win by a field goal. They should. As for the Browns, who are dealing with COVID issues, most notably to Nick Chubb, are getting 2 points against the Pats. Let’s give the Pats a 2 point home field for simplicity. This line is trying to tell me that these are even teams. No, they are not. The Browns are better than the average Pats. So now, I can push up the number through a field goal and the touchdown. I’m asking the Browns to keep it close. That’s reasonable. Two team teaser – Ravens / Browns.