1/16/22 Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers +3 (-110)

When I looked at this weekend’s card, this game immediately stood out. I love getting the points with the Niners in this spot. San Fran can run the ball well. It is Kyle Shanahan’s favorite thing to scheme on offense. Eli Mitchell is back and is getting fed. And Dallas, while ranked 2nd overall DVOA in defense is 16th against the rush. So league average versus the best run schemer in football, with a kicker of Deebo Samuel causing havoc. I have the coaching advantage of Shanahan vs. McCarthy. I get the overall more playoff tested team in the Niners – how quickly we forget that Jimmy G just took them to a Super Bowl just a few years ago. The only concern in this game is that it seems to be consensus. Scary when the dog is getting this much action. Also, I like the Dallas offense vs. the San Fran secondary. Ultimately, I think the Niners control the ball and the clock, enough to cover.