Detroit Lions -3.5 (-102)

I’m all over the Lions in this game. Detroit is coming off of a bye, fully healthy, against a Dallas team that played LATE into the night last week, barely escaping the Steelers. The Cowboys have injuries to their two best defensive players and are essentially playing with just Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb on offense. The most important disparity in this game is Dallas’ 31st ranked rush defense vs. Detroit’s 2nd ranked rush game. I fully expect Detroit’s number 2 ranked offensive line to control this game, allow the double headed monster of Montgomery / Gibbs to do damage and keep Jared Goff clean with time to pick apart Dallas. Oh, and there is also the revenge factor from last year for Detroit losing that game in Dallas thanks to Dan Campbell’s odd decision making.