12/16/21 Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers +3 (EV)

I did a quick search into Patrick Mahomes’ last 7 games. In those games, he has faced the Raiders twice. Both games were blowouts and Mahomes put up competition percentages north of 70% for both, a combined 7 TDs and 0 Interceptions. Dude was ballin’. In the other 5 games? Average competition percentage of 57%, 2 total TDs and 4 Interceptions. Is that good? I have the Chiefs rated 1.5 points better than the Chargers in my power rankings. If you make the accurate case that the Chargers have NO home field advantage, this line is 1.5 points light. This is a divisional game with heavy playoff implications. Not to mention KC is traveling (pretty far 1,570 miles) on a short week. I’m gonna play the Chargers at home in a game that they are seemingly in every year and is always right around Christmas time. Go, Chargers, Go!