11/28/21 Best Bet: Denver Broncos +2.5 (-105)

After last week’s shootout win in primetime, you would think that the public would be running to the window to bet the Chargers laying less than a field goal on the road. Well, if that is the case, this line has barely touched 3 all week. The Broncos have one of the only true home field advantages in all of the NFL. The altitude in Denver is inherit and isn’t crowd based. Also, Denver is getting healthier. Bradley Chubb is coming back, which will boost their pass rush. The Chargers are dead last (32nd DVOA) against the run and Denver will have the two headed running attack of Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon. Last but not least, Teddy…Covers. Historically the dude is a cover machine. He’s over 65% ATS as a starter and that number is higher than 70% as an underdog.