Green Bay Packers +3.5 (-120)

Look, it don’t get grosser than this. And to win in the NFL, you must do disgusting things. I’m on the Packers +3.5 in Pittsburgh this weekend. It is vitally important to get the hook here. I know that no one in their right mind wants to back Jordan Love on the road in Pittsburgh. However, this Steelers team is as phony as they come. Forget 5-3, they should be below .500. They have wins against rookie QBs. They need 2 pick sixes to win games. It’s just high luck every game. They almost lost to the horrible Raiders who couldn’t score over 21 points. I believe the Packers run the ball and minimize Jordan Love having to throw the ball. If they are able to do so, they should win the game. There’s still no Minkah Fitzpatrick, which should give Love confidence when he does actually throw. I think the hook is too much for the bad Steelers offense to overcome.