Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110) vs. Las Vegas Raiders

11/27/20 Best Bet: Like a junkie, I’m back for another hit. This is a game I should not want to play. I got burned by both of these two teams last week. I have continuously faded the Raiders and backed the Falcons this entire year. Those initial thoughts are hard to give up. As for this week, I’m getting a Falcons team that seriously underperformed. More specifically, Matt Ryan severely underperformed. I do not think that against this Raiders defense, Ryan will look that bad again. As for the Raiders, they impressed me. They are much better than I expected. Fine, I said it. I can buy this game as a pick’em. My numbers have this at Raiders -4.5 on a neutral, so given the weird home field advantage this year, it should be about Raiders -3. However, sometimes a number just feels off and this numbers feels off. The Raiders like to set the pace through the running game with Josh Jacobs, however at 10th overall, the Falcons are good against the run. I like this as an upset. Give me the Dirty Birds at +3 at home.