Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110)
I think we can all agree that the Falcons looked better under Taylor Heinecke. While more prone to mistakes than Desmond Ridder, he’s an actual NFL quarterback and Ridder is not. I think this gives the Falcons the confidence to throw the ball around and not be restricted to a run game. However, if restricted to that run game (say, if the weather is bad in Chicago), they should still be able to be the dominant running force they are. Arthur Smith needs to AT LEAST make the playoffs for his job, so he will be motivated. The Falcons have a shot at the NFC South title, so they will be motivated. The Bears are riding high - maybe a little too high over these last few weeks and I suspect a bit of a let down here, at least from their defense that has been playing lights out. This game should be more like 2 or 2.5, so I’ll take the full FG. Take it now before it drops further.