Detroit Lions -2.5 (-110)

I know Josh Allen is most certainly the MVP and showed why last week, even in defeat. But this is a conviction play for me. The Bills aren’t getting the number one seed at this point. They have a shot but it will be hard. I believe the Lions are the best team in the NFL. I believe they are about 1.5 points better than the Bills. The Lions should have at least 2 points of home field advantage. I make this number Detroit -3.5. I am getting it at the other side of three. Either I believe my analysis or I don’t. I believe the Lions run the ball down the Bills throat at home.