Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers -4.5 (-105)

Early on this week, when I played this game at -3.5 (and bought it down to -3), I could not believe this spread. When this game was -3.5, it was saying that these two teams were basically even, given that San Fran has a 2 point home field. And that just isn’t the case. I know everyone has been super high on the Dolphins this year and honestly, what’s not to like? They have an explosive offense that’s led by the best receiver in the league, a fun, innovative coach, Tua is doing great and they play in Miami. All good, right? Their defense is trash. This Dolphins defense gave up over 30 points to Chicago, let the Texans back in the game last week and can’t stop anyone. I believe the Niners can take advantage with their high-powered, creative offense. There is also a massive disparity between the Niners’ second best DL against a poor Dolphins OL. Now, the Dolphins are missing Terron Armstead and Austin Jackson, their starting left and right tackles, respectively. I think the Niners roll.