9/30/21 Best Bet: New York Jets +7 (-110)

In no world should the Tennessee Titans be favored a touchdown on the road. To ANY ONE. The Jets are that any one. Even if you think they are the worst team in the NFL (I do not), they should be able to compete in this game. After facing a string of very good defenses (Panthers – rated #1 DVOA, Denver – Fangio and Patriots – Belichick), the Jets get to face the 28th ranked defense of Tennessee. I know Zach Wilson has been horrible but even if he’s just respectable, this game is coverable. At home, focusing solely on Derrick Henry with Julio Jones and AJ Brown out, the Robert Saleh Jets defense should keep it competitive. Add in the public perception of the NY Jets and you have a perfect storm. Sprinkle a little on the moneyline, the Jets might win outright.