Best Bet: Tampa Bay Bucs +2.5 (-110)

The Dallas Cowboys should be favored in this game. They have earned the right through this year to be a road favorite. I can make an easy case that Dallas is the better team. Their defense is better and their offense has certainly played better than the Bucs this year. So, why would I take the Bucs? Because I cannot trust the Dallas Cowboys or Mike McCarthy. Nothing either of them have done through the collective last 15 - 20 years makes me feel good about laying points on the road with them. McCarthy managed to win one title when Aaron Rodgers was the best QB on the planet for over a decade even though he was in the playoffs every year. And Dallas manages to blow games in the playoffs (see: last year, Tony Romo, Dez’s catch not being called a touchdown). So now I have Tampa with a fully healthy offensive line for the first time all year, with the GOAT at QB and the homefield. Don’t forget the Tampa defense is solid. Yea, gimmie the points. Tampa will prob win this outright.