8/24/20 Best Bet: Today, I’m going with the Detroit Tigers over the Cubs. A couple of factors here that are handicapping staples: 1) the Cubs are a public team and are (usually) overvalued. 2) Bet on pedigreed pitchers in their first couple of starts in the majors. In this case we have both variables in our favor. Alec Mills is no superstar with his 4.76 ERA / 4.96 xFIP. On the other side, Casey Mize, a 1st round draft pick that progressed quickly through the minors has pitched a grand total of 4 innings in the Majors. He had 7 K’s in those 4 innings. The Cubs have also never seen him before. Yea, give me the Tigers at the plus number. Also, I will sprinkle a little on the under 5.5 runs for the First Five innings at -127.