11/14/20 Best Bet: Ok, enough with all those favorites. Here’s a real gross one. I’m taking the Jaguars +13.5 in Green Bay tomorrow. My numbers make this 11.5 and if you include about 2.5 for Green Bay’s homefield (even without fans), you are at 14. But at some point, you get these diminishing returns. How bad does Green Bay really want to blow out this lowly Jags team. Green Bay has hopes and dreams and destroying this sad team starting a 7th round rookie QB ain’t it, chief. I think Jacksonville will be able to run the ball against Green Bay’s 20th ranked rush defense. You know the Packers can and will run the ball with Aaron Jones. That probably shortens this game a bit and that’s what we need here. Can the Packers smoke them by 30 points? Sure. But you close your eyes and take that trust fall. You have to make ugly bets in the NFL. Gimmie Jax +13.5 tomorrow.